Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 327.462061 370.591335 418.316212 475.224140 541.468267 616.425077 708.052713
2025-11-02 258.323312 313.794689 380.548535 467.505750 578.823572 717.947906 907.191125
2025-11-09 228.559545 290.865576 370.143725 479.815157 629.810448 831.045261 1127.087164
2025-11-16 202.192898 266.822172 352.742033 477.452969 657.440957 913.516943 1316.074741
2025-11-23 180.851471 245.959104 335.745018 471.481369 676.643630 983.880308 1496.206408
2025-11-30 166.110912 232.090795 326.133042 473.677820 706.402618 1072.036024 1716.962794
2025-12-07 151.073211 215.973097 311.119815 465.252293 717.581241 1131.173995 1898.415681
2025-12-14 139.688098 203.983167 300.749065 462.290829 736.255045 1203.964406 2115.298929
2025-12-21 126.534579 188.039169 282.638234 444.578175 727.510909 1227.563588 2244.131206
2025-12-28 122.045570 185.080937 284.513390 459.809188 777.040817 1361.419095 2612.053386
2026-01-04 118.512137 183.251973 287.888946 477.713038 833.307349 1515.860006 3054.282735
2026-01-11 112.380261 176.629898 282.626203 479.644837 859.801954 1615.968022 3399.691103
2026-01-18 104.277865 166.269387 270.411888 468.217025 860.162478 1665.346784 3645.706436
2026-01-25 97.550953 157.760206 260.735689 460.572513 867.208825 1730.249708 3945.519204
2026-02-01 94.487039 155.298956 261.464797 472.674164 915.969035 1893.600093 4534.143076
2026-02-08 89.608275 149.262097 255.194821 470.352416 933.846738 1989.864600 4969.999383
2026-02-15 84.682120 142.781553 247.569091 464.485206 943.145115 2067.327062 5373.861743
2026-02-22 81.208964 138.686385 244.063874 466.643314 970.580614 2193.468893 5956.404554
2026-03-01 76.734242 132.440303 235.970504 458.364657 972.885226 2256.585111 6362.799847
2026-03-08 73.238416 127.797557 230.636359 455.454705 987.493280 2354.354998 6911.408861
2026-03-15 68.382279 120.284744 219.134836 438.048928 964.890749 2348.353246 7107.239127
2026-03-22 67.355923 120.043710 222.108723 453.016185 1024.417058 2580.805381 8225.365888
2026-03-29 66.611159 120.289818 226.068648 470.608031 1093.204625 2854.293488 9605.378176